USDCHF Fundamental Analysis
Bloomberg—The Swiss franc moved slightly above 0.80 per USD and stayed near its highest level since 2021. This strength came mainly from expectations that the Swiss National Bank will not cut rates anytime soon. Many traders still believe the SNB will keep its policy rate at 0% in December, especially as inflation is expected to rise.
The franc also gained support from a new tariff deal between Switzerland and the Trump administration. Under this agreement, the US reduced its tariff from 39% to 15%, which should help Switzerland recover after the tariff-related slowdown in Q3.
At the same time, safe-haven demand for the franc cooled a bit due to strong results from Nvidia. Even so, investors remained cautious because of uncertainty around a possible Ukraine peace deal and delays in US economic data, which could affect the Federal Reserve’s next move.